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Senior Analyst, Forecasting and Modelling

4 months ago

Wellington City, New Zealand New Zealand Government Full time

Full time, permanent or secondment (4 roles)
- Working in a hybrid and flexible team
- Excellent opportunity for an experienced Economist, Financial or Data Analyst eager to progress their career in Forecasting

He mea tārai e mātou te mātauranga kia rangatira ai, kia mana taurite ai ōna huanga
We work to shape an education system that delivers equitable and excellent outcomes
Our organisation is made up of talented and committed people around Aotearoa, from a wide range of backgrounds and cultures. While we work in different groups and on different things, we all strive every day to make the biggest difference we can for our ākonga in our education system.
Te Tāhuhu o te Mātauranga recognises the partnership founded under Te Tiriti o Waitangi between Māori and the Crown. We are committed to having Te Tiriti o Waitangi at the forefront of our work for and with Māori students, their whānau, hapū and iwi.

Mō tēnei tūranga | About thess roles
The Forecasting & Modelling team is responsible for analysis that supports Early Learning and Schooling policy and operations. We are buidling capability in the team and are looking for four Senior analysts. The team works across the organisation to promote the effective use of evidence, including by:

- Delivering high quality forecasts of future public expenditure for large components of the over $11 billion that the government invests annually in the schooling and early childhood education system;
- Working with colleagues across Te Tāhuhu, Te Mahau, and beyond on cutting-edge policy development, utilising our expertise in policy costing and impact analysis; and
- Undertaking operational rate-setting and eligibility calculations, to ensure that schools and early childhood education services are appropriately funded.

For more information on these positions, please read through the attached Job Description

**We also offer**:

- Flexible working arrangements where everyone feels valued & supported
- The ability to purchase extra days leave
- A range of employee network groups
- An inclusive environment that encourages your personal cultural competency journey
- Development and learning, including mentorship programmes and internal secondments
- Wellness initiatives to support your overall health and wellbeing

Mōhou ake | About you

**You will also offer**:

- A demonstrated ability to think conceptually and translate new and emerging ideas into evidence-based quantitative analysis of impacts, and translate insights into accessible messages for customers and senior leaders to ensure appropriate interpretation, achieve buy-in, and influence decision-makers.
- Capability to formulate research questions and interrogate data and other sources of evidence to develop robust conclusions.
- An ability to build strong working relationships with members of the team, the broader Te Pae Aronui group, Te Mahau and Te Tāhuhu.
- An eye for detail, taking pride in the accuracy of your work and offering robust and constructive peer review to colleagues.
- Proven technical skills, including advanced proficiency in Microsoft Excel, and coding experience in relevant software such as SAS, SQL or R
- A tertiary qualification in an area that involves data manipulation and analysis, such as economics, finance, mathematics, or science.

Professional experience in a relevant discipline such as policy modelling, forecasting, cost benefit analysis, quantitative research, or data extraction, manipulation and reporting is not a pre-requisite, but would be an advantage, as would experience in using the Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI).
You will work with a team of people equally passionate about analysis and will have the opportunity to learn from an experienced and capable team as well as coaching more junior team members.

Mātau rōpū ake | About our ministry, group, and team
At Te Tāhuhu o te Mātauranga, we work to provide services and support nationally, regionally and locally to the education sector, and in some cases, directly to ākonga and whanau. To better deliver on this, we are undergoing an organisational design change. The transition phase to improve the way we deliver our purpose will be complete in 2023.
Te Pae Aronui was established within Te Mahau to provide the education sector with support and services that are more locally responsive, more accessible, and integrated.
It is the place where everything Te Tāhuhu does for ākonga can come together. We gather insights, regulate, have service design and delivery functions, understand ākonga, whānau, communities and businesses - and use that to shape and influence the direction of education in Aotearoa New Zealand.
At Te Tāhuhu o te Mātauranga, we work to provide services and support nationally, regionally and locally to the education sector, and in some cases, directly to ākonga and whanau. To better deliver on this, we are currently undergoing an organisational design change. The transition phase to impr